【サウジアラビアロイヤルカップ2019予想/出走予定馬分析】本命は新馬戦でダービー馬の半弟を子ども扱いしたアノ馬!穴馬で狙うなら重賞出走歴を持つアノ馬!

今週の土曜東京11Rは2歳馬のマイル重賞であるサウジアラビアロイヤルカップが行われます。
前身のいちょうステークスを含めると過去5年の勝ち馬のうち4頭が国内外のG1を制覇しているという出世レースで、将来の名マイラーの産声をあげる馬はどの馬になるでしょうか。

《出走予定馬分析》

  • サリオス

母がドイツG1馬にして半姉にローズステークス2着のサラキアがいる良血馬ですが、新馬戦ではダービー馬レイデオロの半弟アブソルティスモをあっさり交わして2馬身差をつけるパフォーマンスを見せました。
4か月振りの1戦にはなりますが、ここはあっさり勝ってG1取りを意識したいところです。

  • アブソルティスモ

新馬戦ではサリオスを抑えて単勝1.4倍の支持を受けるも敗れ、続く未勝利戦でも1.1倍の支持を受けながらハナ差の辛勝でした。
半兄レイデオロという血統からどうしても人気はするでしょうが、早生まれでかつ早熟傾向のあるダイワメジャー産駒でこのパフォーマンスとなると、あまり伸びしろは期待出来ず思わぬ大敗もありうるかもしれません。

  • クラヴァシュドール

秋の阪神開幕週でデビューした本馬ですが、馬場が速いにせよ新馬戦でマイルを1分35秒4で終い3ハロンを33秒1で走破するのは並の馬では難しいでしょう。
関東圏に輸送しての競馬が初となるだけにイレ込みには注意が必要ですが、脚力ならサリオスに負けず劣らずのものを持っていそうです。

  • ロードエクスプレス

夏の新潟最終週の芝1400mでデビューした本馬ですが、好位から上がり3ハロン最速の脚を繰り出し0.6秒差をつける圧勝を飾りました。
関西馬ですが新潟への輸送は経験していますし、平常心でレースに臨めれば上位2頭に割って入るだけの走りをしても不思議ではありません。

[PR]3回に1回3連単が的中する競馬データ とは?

《注目の穴馬》

  • シコウ

10頭の登録馬中、新馬・未勝利戦以外を走った経験がある馬は3頭のみですが、その中で一番この舞台で通用しそうなのは本馬でしょう。
例年のレベルだと芝マイル1分35秒台の時計では通用しないでしょうが、今回の登録馬においては十分馬券圏内を狙えると思われますし、新潟2歳ステークス6着の実績を発揮出来れば見せ場以上のレースにしてくれるでしょう。

《予想》

◎ サリオス

○ クラヴァシュドール

▲ ロードエクスプレス

△ シコウ

《買い目》

三連単フォーメーション 計18点

1着 ◎、○、▲ 計3頭

2着 ◎、○、▲、△ 計4頭

3着 ◎、○、▲、△ 計4頭 

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