【テレビユー福島賞2019予想/出走予定馬分析】難解な一戦の本命は前走クラス慣れしたアノ馬!穴で狙うなら距離短縮で変わり身を見せたアノ馬!

今週の土曜福島11Rは3勝クラスの特別戦であるテレビユー福島賞

一昨年の勝ち馬ワンスインナムーンは続く朱鷺ステークスも制しG1スプリンターズステークスで3着に入る活躍を見せましたが、今年の勝ち馬は飛躍を遂げることが出来るでしょうか。

《出走予定馬分析》

  • シャドウノエル

昇級初戦となった前走の水無月ステークスでは後方からの競馬を強いられるも良い伸び脚を見せて4着と健闘しました。

過去の好走したレースでは中団から前目につけていることが多く、クラス慣れして前走よりも前目の位置で競馬することが出来ればより上の着順を狙うことが出来るでしょう。

  • ショウナンアエラ

3か月振りの実戦となりますが、前走は3着とクラスの目途をつけている一頭です。

福島芝1200mは3戦して1101と相性も良く、前から運べる脚質は開幕週の福島コースで良さを発揮するでしょう。

  • ナンヨーアミーコ

このクラスで2着経験のある本馬ですが、半年の休養明けの2戦は思うような結果を出せていません。

とは言えいずれも芝1400mを使ってのものであり、芝1200mに距離を戻して臨む今回は見直しが必要と言えるでしょう。

  • モアナ

前走で勝利をあげて再昇級を果たした本馬ですが、以前このクラスにいたときは3着の実績があります。

ただし下のクラスでもなかなか勝ち切ることが出来なかった中、久々の芝1200mに距離を短縮して行き脚がつくかは疑問視され、人気を裏切る惨敗も有り得るでしょう。

  • メイショウカリン

前走予定されていた水無月ステークスは禁止薬物問題で除外となり、このレースにスライドしてきました。

このクラスで2着の実績があり、この舞台でも勝ち星をあげていることから決して侮れる存在とは言えず、2週スライドしてきたことが嫌気され人気を落とすようなら狙いたい一頭でしょう。

《注目の穴馬》

  • ハーグリーブス

前走は初の芝1200mで人気薄ながら勝ち、このクラスに昇級となりました。

持ちタイムがないのでさほど人気はしないと思われますが、キャリアの浅い馬ですし、芝1200mがベストだとするなら上積みを見込んで狙いたいです。

《予想》

◎ シャドウノエル

○ ナンヨーアミーコ

▲ メイショウカリン

☆ ショウナンアエラ

△ ハーグリーブス

《買い目》

三連単フォーメーション 計27点

1着 ◎、○、▲ 計3頭

2着 ◎、○、▲、☆ 計4頭

3着 ◎、○、▲、☆、△ 計5頭 

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